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 statistical error


Stability and Oracle Inequalities for Optimal Transport Maps between General Distributions

Neural Information Processing Systems

Optimal transport (OT) provides a powerful framework for comparing and transforming probability distributions, with wide applications in generative modeling, AI4Science and statistical inference. However, existing estimation theory typically requires stringent smoothness conditions on the underlying Brenier potentials and assumes bounded distribution supports, limiting practical applicability. In this paper, we introduce a unified theoretical framework for semi-dual OT map estimation that relaxes both of these restrictions. Building on sieved convex conjugate, our framework has two key contributions: (i) a new map stability bounds that holds without any second-order regularity assumptions on the true Brenier potentials, and (ii) an oracle inequality that cleanly decomposes the estimation error into statistical error, sieved bias, and approximation error. Specifically, our approximation error is measured in the $L^\infty$ norm rather than Sobolev norm in the existing results, aligning more naturally with classical approximation theory. Leveraging these tools, we provide statistical error of semi-dual estimators with mild and verifiable conditions on the true OT map. Moreover, we establish the first theoretical guarantee for deep neural network OT map estimator between general distributions, with Tanh network function class as an example.


An Adaptive Algorithm for Learning with Unknown Distribution Drift Alessio Mazzetto Brown University Eli Upfal Brown University

Neural Information Processing Systems

We develop and analyze a general technique for learning with an unknown distribution drift. Given a sequence of independent observations from the last T steps of a drifting distribution, our algorithm agnostically learns a family of functions with respect to the current distribution at time T. Unlike previous work, our technique does not require prior knowledge about the magnitude of the drift.


Divergence FrontiersforGenerativeModels: SampleComplexity, QuantizationEffects, andFrontierIntegrals

Neural Information Processing Systems

The spectacular success ofdeep generativemodels calls forquantitativetools to measure their statistical performance. Divergence frontiers have recently been proposed as an evaluation framework for generative models, due to their ability to measure the quality-diversity trade-off inherent to deep generative modeling. We establish non-asymptotic bounds on the sample complexity of divergence frontiers.








Structural Properties, Cycloid Trajectories and Non-Asymptotic Guarantees of EM Algorithm for Mixed Linear Regression

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This work investigates the structural properties, cycloid trajectories, and non-asymptotic convergence guarantees of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for two-component Mixed Linear Regression (2MLR) with unknown mixing weights and regression parameters. Recent studies have established global convergence for 2MLR with known balanced weights and super-linear convergence in noiseless and high signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) regimes. However, the theoretical behavior of EM in the fully unknown setting remains unclear, with its trajectory and convergence order not yet fully characterized. We derive explicit EM update expressions for 2MLR with unknown mixing weights and regression parameters across all SNR regimes and analyze their structural properties and cycloid trajectories. In the noiseless case, we prove that the trajectory of the regression parameters in EM iterations traces a cycloid by establishing a recurrence relation for the sub-optimality angle, while in high SNR regimes we quantify its discrepancy from the cycloid trajectory. The trajectory-based analysis reveals the order of convergence: linear when the EM estimate is nearly orthogonal to the ground truth, and quadratic when the angle between the estimate and ground truth is small at the population level. Our analysis establishes non-asymptotic guarantees by sharpening bounds on statistical errors between finite-sample and population EM updates, relating EM's statistical accuracy to the sub-optimality angle, and proving convergence with arbitrary initialization at the finite-sample level. This work provides a novel trajectory-based framework for analyzing EM in Mixed Linear Regression.